NCAAF Predictions

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Baylor Bears Predictions

Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 4:00pm EST at McLane Stadium, Waco, TX

Louisiana Tech

Bulldogs

Spread +19.5
@
Baylor

Bears

Spread -19.5
50% 50%
Spread Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +19.5 Baylor Bears -19.5
Moneyline Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +800 Baylor Bears -1350
Total Over 49.5 (-108) Under 49.5 (-112)

Who wins this game?

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Louisiana Tech vs. Baylor Prediction: Jackson's Pass Rush Tests Bears

Analysis updated September 18, 2026 at 11:39 PM CDT

Louisiana Tech brings a productive pass rusher to Waco, where SPF has Baylor favored by 20.5 points.

Can Jackson disrupt Baylor?

Louisiana Tech linebacker Alonzo Jackson Jr. recorded three sacks and 3.5 tackles for loss against LSU on Sept. 12, according to LA Tech Athletics, the university's official athletics site. That pressure gives the Bulldogs a way to stall drives against Baylor, which must win by at least 21 points to cover SPF's -20.5 spread.

The same report credits receiver Jalen Mickens with nine catches for 234 yards and multiple touchdowns through two games. His production gives Louisiana Tech a receiving threat, though it doesn't establish how consistently the Bulldogs can score against Baylor.

Prediction and betting view

Baylor is the low-confidence winner pick, consistent with SPF's -1350 moneyline. That price requires a win probability above roughly 93.1% to break even. Without a reliable comparison of the teams or confirmed starting quarterbacks, there's no clear case for paying it or backing either side of the spread. Louisiana Tech's +800 moneyline doesn't make it an attractive bet by itself.

SPF lists the total at 49.5, with over -108 and under -112. The unresolved quarterback picture also limits any scoring forecast. Pass on the game.

Pick Baylor Bears
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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