NCAAF Predictions

Nicholls Colonels vs Sam Houston Bearkats Predictions

Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 7:00pm EST

Nicholls

Colonels

Spread +21
@
Sam Houston

Bearkats

Spread -21
50% 50%
Spread Nicholls Colonels +21 Sam Houston Bearkats -21
Moneyline Nicholls Colonels Sam Houston Bearkats
Total Over 50.5 (-110) Under 50.5 (-110)
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Staff Preview

Nicholls vs. Sam Houston: Takeaways test a 17.5-point spread

Analysis updated September 19, 2026 at 7:10 AM CDT

The Colonels’ takeaways could help them stay close, but their early results alone don’t justify backing them against the spread.

Can Nicholls create extra possessions?

Nicholls has forced 10 turnovers through three games, ranking third in the FCS according to Nicholls State University Athletics, the school’s official athletics site. More takeaways could help the Colonels stay within SPF’s +17.5 spread, but there’s no information on Sam Houston’s ball security to judge that matchup.

The Colonels improved to 2-1 with a 31-28 win over UTRGV on Sept. 12. The same preview reports that Ean Rodrigue threw four touchdown passes and Jackson Dufrene caught five passes for 100 yards and three scores. That gives Nicholls a recent passing success to build on, though it doesn’t establish how the offense will fare against the Bearkats.

Betting recommendation

Sam Houston is the market-implied likely winner at -17.5, but a cover requires a margin of at least 18 points. Without current performance or availability details for the Bearkats, neither side offers a supported wager. Pass on the spread.

SPF lists the total at 49.5, with over and under each priced at -110. Nicholls’ latest result alone can’t support a scoring projection, so the total is also a pass. The moneyline price is unavailable.

Pick Sam Houston Bearkats
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
Odds and availability can change. Confirm current markets before placing a wager.
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