Monmouth
Hawks
1-2
Spread
+1.5
NCAAF Predictions
Monmouth Hawks vs UAlbany Great Danes Predictions
Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 3:30pm EST at Bob Ford Field at Tom & Mary Casey Stadium, Albany, NY
@
UAlbany Great
Danes
Spread
-1.5
50%
50%
Spread
Monmouth Hawks +1.5
UAlbany Great Danes -1.5
Moneyline
Monmouth Hawks -104
UAlbany Great Danes -120
Total
Over 51.5 (-112)
Under 51.5 (-110)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
0 available
Professional Picks On This Game
No professional picks are available for this matchup.
UAlbany vs. Monmouth Prediction: Rushing Production Favors Great Danes
Analysis updated September 18, 2026 at 11:33 PM CDT
The Great Danes get the tentative winner pick at home. Their three-game rushing numbers don't settle the betting decision.
The case for UAlbany
UAlbany averages 184.0 rushing yards per game, with Joey Koch gaining 216 yards on 25 carries, according to the University at Albany Great Danes, the school's official athletics site. That production gives the home team a concrete path to winning against Monmouth. SPF lists UAlbany at -1.5 and -120 on the moneyline.
The official preview also reports that UAlbany has allowed 118.7 rushing yards per game through three games. Consecutive wins over New Hampshire and LIU followed a 21-17 loss to Buffalo. Those results support a tentative UAlbany pick, though the rushing figures alone don't establish an advantage against Monmouth's defense.
Betting decision
Monmouth quarterback Frankie Weaver threw for 273 yards and a touchdown against Western Michigan on September 12, the preview reports. That performance gives UAlbany's pass defense a relevant test, but without comparable defensive numbers, it doesn't justify predicting a close finish or backing Monmouth at +1.5.
UAlbany is my low-confidence winner pick; the wager is Pass. At -120, its moneyline requires a win probability above 54.5% to break even, and these early results don't establish that edge. SPF's spread prices aren't supplied, so there's no basis to call -1.5 the better purchase. The evidence also doesn't support a bet on the 51.5 total.
Pick
UAlbany Great Danes
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass