NCAAF Predictions

NC State Wolfpack vs Vanderbilt Commodores Predictions

Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 2:45pm EST

NC State

Wolfpack

Spread +3
@
Vanderbilt

Commodores

Spread -3
50% 50%
Spread NC State Wolfpack +3 Vanderbilt Commodores -3
Moneyline NC State Wolfpack +136 Vanderbilt Commodores -162
Total Over 50.5 (-112) Under 50.5 (-108)

Who wins this game?

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Staff Preview

NC State vs. Vanderbilt: Curtis Leads Commodores as 3-Point Favorites

Analysis updated September 18, 2026 at 11:21 PM CDT

Curtis showed promise against Delaware, but that performance alone doesn't justify backing Vanderbilt at SPF's price.

Curtis gives Vanderbilt a scoring threat

Jared Curtis threw for 210 yards and a touchdown and ran for two more scores against Delaware. That production offers a reason for optimism with Vanderbilt favored by 3 points at SPF against NC State. Yahoo Sports / NC State Wolfpack On SI, which published a team-focused preview, reports that coach Clark Lea named the freshman as Saturday's starter.

Curtis completed 14 of 22 passes, but one performance doesn't establish how he'll fare against NC State. SPF lists Vanderbilt at -162 and NC State at +136. The Commodores are the market favorite; there's too little matchup evidence to make an independent winner pick or justify either side. The recommendation is Pass.

Heat warrants attention

The same preview cites an AccuWeather forecast high of 97°F in Nashville, with a RealFeel high of 104°F and a chance of an afternoon thunderstorm. Those conditions could increase the need for substitutions, but they don't establish an advantage for either team or a direction for SPF's 50.5-point total.

Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
Odds and availability can change. Confirm current markets before placing a wager.
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