NCAAF Predictions

Central Connecticut Blue Devils vs Montana State Bobcats Predictions

Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 3:00pm EST at Bobcat Stadium (MT), Bozeman, MT

Central Connecticut

Blue Devils

Spread +38.5
@
Montana State

Bobcats

3-0
Spread -38.5
50% 50%
Spread Central Connecticut Blue Devils +38.5 Montana State Bobcats -38.5
Moneyline Central Connecticut Blue Devils Montana State Bobcats
Total Over 59.5 (-113) Under 59.5 (-110)

Who wins this game?

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Staff Preview

Central Connecticut vs. Montana State: Defensive Struggles Meet a 38.5-Point Spread

Analysis updated September 18, 2026 at 11:23 PM CDT

The Blue Devils' early defensive numbers favor Montana State's offense, but two road losses offer limited guidance on the margin in Bozeman.

The matchup behind the spread

Central Connecticut State has allowed 581.5 yards per game through two games, according to Montana State University Athletics, the host school's athletics department. Montana State averages 272.7 passing yards and 152.3 rushing yards. That gives the Bobcats ways to attack through the air and on the ground, though SPF's -38.5 spread requires a win by at least 39 points.

The same preview reports that the Blue Devils have been outscored 122-30 in losses at South Dakota and Toledo. Those results make Montana State the likely winner, but two games against different opponents don't establish a reliable margin for this matchup.

Montana State has six takeaways and only one turnover through three games. More takeaways could create short fields and help the Bobcats cover without needing long scoring drives, but that opportunity depends on turnovers they can't count on.

Betting decision

Pass on the spread. Central Connecticut State's struggles alone don't justify laying 38.5 points, and the size of the handicap doesn't establish value on the underdog.

SPF lists the total at 59.5, with over -113 and under -110. Central Connecticut State's offense averages just 194.5 yards, leaving its scoring contribution difficult to project. Pass on the total as well. A moneyline price is unavailable.

Pick Montana State Bobcats
Confidence medium
Betting lean Pass
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