Florida State
Seminoles
Spread
+19.5
NCAAF Predictions
Florida State Seminoles vs Alabama Crimson Tide Predictions
Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 3:30pm EST at Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
@
Alabama
Crimson Tide
Spread
-19.5
50%
50%
Spread
Florida State Seminoles +19.5
Alabama Crimson Tide -19.5
Moneyline
Florida State Seminoles +800
Alabama Crimson Tide -1350
Total
Over 49.5 (-112)
Under 49.5 (-108)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
6 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Wes Salvato
Spread pick
Frank Obst
Total pick
Bryan Pratt
Total pick
Lane Gibson
Spread pick
Scott Steele
Spread pick
Casper Kohke
Spread pick
Alabama vs. Florida State: Russell’s Turnovers Matter at -19.5
Analysis updated September 18, 2026 at 5:55 AM CDT
Alabama is the likely winner, but its quarterback’s mistakes at Kentucky give bettors a specific concern about backing a three-score victory.
Can Alabama protect its possessions?
Alabama won 45-17 at Kentucky despite three first-half turnovers by starting quarterback Keelon Russell, according to CBS Sports. Those lost possessions are a concern at SPF’s Alabama -19.5: another win could still leave the Crimson Tide short of covering.
CBS Sports reports that Florida State visits Bryant-Denny Stadium on September 19 at 3:30 p.m. ET after a bye following a 27-24 loss to SMU. The break gave the Seminoles extra preparation time, but that alone doesn’t establish a case for taking +19.5.
Betting verdict
Alabama’s convincing result at Kentucky and home field make it the pick to win. SPF lists the Crimson Tide at -1350 and Florida State at +800, however, and one recent result doesn’t justify paying that moneyline price or projecting a 20-point margin.
SPF’s total is 48.5, with over -112 and under -108. Without a fuller picture of either team’s scoring and defensive performance, there’s no supported total lean. Pass on all listed markets.
Pick
Alabama Crimson Tide
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass