Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers Predictions

Odds and prediction

LSU is a 6-point home favorite and -238 on the moneyline. Alabama is +195, and the total is 52.5 with -110 odds on either side. Those prices make LSU the likely winner, but there isn't enough performance data to justify betting the Tigers at -238.

Who's Starting projects Keelon Russell at quarterback for Alabama and reports no Week 10 changes to the Crimson Tide's starting lineup. That weakens the case for treating doubtful quarterback Jett Thomalla's status as a reason to bet LSU.

Availability concerns on both sides

Kickoff Status lists six Alabama players out, including Casey Poe, Cayden Jones and Desmond Umeozulu. Running back EJ Crowell, offensive lineman William Sanders and defensive back Zabien Brown are questionable, while four other Crimson Tide players were upgraded to probable Friday.

LSU also has four players listed out. Linebacker Whit Weeks is doubtful, tight end Trey'Dez Green is questionable and defensive tackle Stephiylan Green was upgraded to available Friday. Without evidence showing how these absences affect either team's expected performance, they don't support a bet on the spread or total.

Betting lean

LSU can win without offering value at -238. The Tigers are the prediction to win, but the available matchup information doesn't establish a worthwhile wager at the SPF price. Pass.