Montana State
Bobcats
Spread
-15.5
NCAAF Predictions
Montana State Bobcats vs Idaho State Bengals Predictions
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 6:00pm EST at ICCU Dome, Pocatello, ID
@
Idaho State
Bengals
Spread
+15.5
50%
50%
Spread
Montana State Bobcats -15.5
Idaho State Bengals +15.5
Moneyline
Montana State Bobcats -760
Idaho State Bengals +489
Total
Over 60.5 (-110)
Under 60.5 (-113)
Professional Picks
0 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
No professional picks are available for this matchup.
Montana State vs. Idaho State prediction: Bobcats favored to win, but the points are harder to trust
Analysis updated November 7, 2026 at 6:09 AM CST
Montana State is the more likely winner, but the moneyline is too expensive to back. Idaho State +14 offers the better betting path if the Bengals can keep the game inside two touchdowns.
Market read
SportsPicksForum lists Montana State at -680 on the moneyline and -14 against the spread, with Idaho State at +450 and +14. The total sits at 60.5, so oddsmakers expect a game with points and a clear favorite.
That price leaves Montana State as the safer pick to win outright, but not a useful moneyline bet. Laying -680 asks for too little return, while the spread gives Idaho State a real chance to cash if it keeps the game within two scores.
Why Montana State still rates as the likelier winner
The sourced preview materials have Montana State ranked No. 3 and Idaho State No. 22, which matches the heavy market lean toward the Bobcats. Big Sky Conference coverage also says Montana State leads the all-time series 51-31-3 over 85 meetings, another sign that the gap is real.
The file does not include current injuries, starters, recent results, or season stats, so there is no strong reason to push beyond the market number. That makes Montana State the more likely side, but not enough of a betting bargain to chase the moneyline.
Why the spread is the better angle
Idaho State +14 is the more appealing wager because it gives the home team a cushion in a matchup with a fairly high total. If the game reaches the low 60s, the underdog still has room to stay inside the number even if Montana State controls most of the night.
The National Weather Service forecast for the Pocatello area calls for partly sunny conditions in the morning, then clearing, with highs around 48 to 55 and northeast winds up to 10 mph. That is mild football weather, so the case for the underdog comes more from the number than from any weather-driven edge.
Pick
Montana State Bobcats
Confidence
medium
Betting lean
Idaho State +14