San Diego State Aztecs vs Colorado Buffaloes Predictions

The price demands more evidence

San Diego State is favored by 3.5 points and priced at -175 on the SPF moneyline for Saturday’s game against Colorado at Pechanga Arena in San Diego. Both teams are 1-0, but no confirmed starters, injury information or current-season statistics are available. That makes the Aztecs the likely winner without making them a worthwhile bet at this price.

Last season offers limited guidance

The Associated Press via ABC News reported that San Diego State finished 22-11 last season and allowed 71.0 points per game. Colorado went 17-16 while averaging 13.9 points off turnovers, 9.6 second-chance points and 26.4 bench points. Those figures describe last season’s teams, so they cannot show whether Colorado can cover +3.5 or whether San Diego State deserves a -175 price in this matchup.

The 154.5 total also requires assumptions about the teams’ current pace and scoring ability. With those details unavailable, the spread, moneyline and total are all passes.