Texas
Longhorns
Spread
-2.5
NCAAF Predictions
Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers Predictions
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 12:00pm EST at Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO
@
Missouri
Tigers
Spread
+2.5
50%
50%
Spread
Texas Longhorns -2.5
Missouri Tigers +2.5
Moneyline
Texas Longhorns -135
Missouri Tigers +114
Total
Over 43.5 (-110)
Under 43.5 (-110)
Professional Picks
1 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Jason Manning
Total pick
Texas vs. Missouri Prediction: Longhorns Slight Road Favorite in a Low-Total SEC Game
Analysis updated November 6, 2026 at 6:03 AM CST
SPF odds make Texas the likelier winner, but Missouri plus the points is live in what projects as a tight, low-scoring game.
Odds context
SportsPicksForum lists Texas at -142 on the moneyline and -2.5 on the spread, with Missouri at +120 and +2.5. The total is 42.5, and the under is slightly cheaper at -105 than the over at -115.
That pricing makes Texas the likelier winner, but only by a small margin. A road favorite laying 2.5 in a game with a total this low is being asked to win a short, possession-by-possession game and still cover a narrow number.
Availability matters
On3 reported that Texas had nine players on Thursday’s SEC availability report, with four listed as out before this trip to Missouri. That is the main concrete team note in the packet, and it matters because thin margins are harder to protect when a favorite is missing players.
No confirmed starters, recent results, or season stats were provided here, so the betting case has to lean on the market and the Texas availability report rather than any fuller form read.
How to bet it
Texas still looks like the more likely straight-up winner, but -142 is not an easy price to lay on the road in this setup. The moneyline fits a modest Texas edge better than the spread does.
Missouri +2.5 is the better betting lean. If this game stays in the low 40s, the home dog has a real path to cover even if Texas edges it late.
Pick
Texas Longhorns
Projected score
Texas 23, Missouri 20
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Missouri +2.5