Colorado Buffaloes vs Arizona State Sun Devils Predictions, Odds & Picks

Odds and market context

SPF lists Arizona State at -162 on the moneyline, Colorado at +136, and the spread at Arizona State -3.5. The total is 48.5, so the market expects a mid-range scoring game rather than a shootout.

That makes Arizona State the likelier straight-up winner, but the moneyline is more expensive than the spread suggests. When a favorite is only laying 3.5 points, the case for the underdog plus the points gets stronger than the case for a short home moneyline.

What the matchup file does and does not show

The game notes confirm Colorado at Arizona State on Nov. 7, with kickoff listed for 5:30 p.m. and ESPN2 carrying the game, but they do not include injuries, starters, recent results, or season stats. Without that extra team news, the number has to drive the handicap.

The public betting signal is also flat at 50-50 on the moneyline, so there is no ticket split to use as a tiebreaker. In that kind of market, the safer wager is usually the side getting more than a field goal, not the favorite asking for a premium price.

Betting lean

Arizona State is the pick to win, but Colorado +3.5 is the better bet. The Buffaloes can lose by a field goal and still cash, which matters more here than backing the Sun Devils at -162.

If the line stays where it is, the moneyline is a pass and the spread is the better route. Arizona State has the home edge, but the price is not generous enough to make the favorite the stronger wager.

Pick Arizona State Sun Devils

Projected score Arizona State 27, Colorado 24

Confidence low

Betting lean Colorado +3.5

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Colorado Buffaloes vs Arizona State Sun Devils Predictions

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Colorado at Arizona State Prediction: Sun Devils Slight Home Favorite, but the Spread Is the Better Price

Odds and market context

What the matchup file does and does not show

Betting lean