Northern Illinois
Huskies
Spread
+19.5
NCAAB Predictions
Northern Illinois Huskies vs Dayton Flyers Predictions
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 7:00pm EST
@
Dayton
Flyers
Spread
-19.5
50%
50%
Spread
Northern Illinois Huskies +19.5
Dayton Flyers -19.5
Moneyline
Northern Illinois Huskies +1800
Dayton Flyers -5000
Total
Over 147.5 (-115)
Under 147.5 (-105)
Professional Picks
1 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Garrett Perry
Spread pick
Northern Illinois vs. Dayton prediction: Flyers should win at home, but the spread is steep
Analysis updated November 7, 2026 at 6:13 AM CST
Dayton should win at home, but SPF’s market makes the lay price look expensive. The better angle is whether the Flyers can cover a very large number, while the injury note on Dayton adds a small layer of caution.
Market context
SPF lists Dayton as a massive home favorite at -6500 on the moneyline and -19.5 on the spread, with Northern Illinois at +2000 and +19.5. That price says Dayton is expected to win, but it also leaves little room for a straight moneyline bet to pay off. The total is 146.5, with the under shaded slightly to -112.
Matchup notes
The available news is limited, but one detail matters. Covers lists Dayton forward J. Haynes as questionable with a knee injury, while Northern Illinois has no reported injuries. Yahoo Sports also has Northern Illinois at 0-2 and Dayton at 1-0, which supports the early read that the Flyers enter in the better spot.
How to read the line
Dayton is the likelier winner, so the moneyline does not offer value at -6500. The real question is the spread, and -19.5 asks Dayton to separate by a wide margin for a full 40 minutes. That makes Northern Illinois plus the points the more usable betting side, with the under 146.5 also getting a small look because the market has shaded it slightly below even money.
Prediction
Dayton should control the game and win at home, but the number is high enough to keep Northern Illinois in play against the spread. The lean is Dayton to win, with the better wager being Northern Illinois +19.5.
Pick
Dayton Flyers
Projected score
Dayton 78, Northern Illinois 64
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Northern Illinois +19.5