Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green Predictions
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 4:00pm EST at DATCU Stadium, Denton, TX
Mean Green
6-2Professional Picks On This Game
Rice vs. North Texas Prediction: Owls’ Option Attack Makes 16.5 Points Appealing
Analysis updated November 7, 2026 at 9:13 AM CST
North Texas is the likely winner, but Rice’s 271.5 rushing yards per game and the Mean Green’s earlier trouble against Navy support a low-confidence lean toward the Owls.
Rice can test North Texas on the ground
Dave Campbell's Texas Football reports that Rice averages 271.5 rushing yards per game with quarterbacks Jacurri Brown and Gael Ochoa leading its option attack. North Texas allowed 363 rushing yards to Navy earlier this season, giving Rice a credible way to control possession and stay within the 16.5-point spread.
North Texas still has a substantial talent and record advantage. The Mean Green enter at 6-2 behind quarterback Tayven Jackson, who has 2,577 passing yards and 24 total touchdowns. Running back Jahiem White has added 1,047 rushing yards and 15 total touchdowns, while receiver Justin Stevenson has 50 catches for 781 yards and eight scores. Rice is 1-7, so North Texas remains the more likely winner.
Betting outlook
The SPF price makes North Texas a 16.5-point favorite and -800 on the moneyline, with Rice at +550. North Texas should win, but the moneyline offers little return and the spread asks the Mean Green to win by at least 17 against an option offense that can reduce possessions.
Rice +16.5 is the lean because its rushing style targets a weakness North Texas has shown. Confidence remains low because no confirmed starter, injury, weather, or line-movement information is available. The 64.5 total lacks enough supporting evidence for a wager.