Tampa Bay
Lightning
Moneyline
-142
NHL Predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild Predictions
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 8:00pm EST at Grand Casino Arena, Saint Paul, MN
@
Minnesota
Wild
Moneyline
+120
50%
50%
Spread
Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5
Minnesota Wild +1.5
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Lightning -142
Minnesota Wild +120
Total
Over 6.5 (-115)
Under 6.5 (-105)
Professional Picks
0 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
No professional picks are available for this matchup.
Lightning vs. Wild prediction: Tampa Bay is the likelier winner, but Minnesota’s plus-money price is hard to ignore
Analysis updated November 7, 2026 at 6:16 AM CST
Tampa Bay is the more likely straight-up winner, but the market has not made the Lightning cheap enough to trust comfortably on the road. Minnesota’s +114 price keeps the home dog in play, and the Wild’s puck line is the cleaner way to back them.
Odds snapshot
SportsPicksForum lists Tampa Bay at -135 on the moneyline, Minnesota at +114, with the Lightning -1.5 and the Wild +1.5. The total is 6.5, with over +105 and under -125. The available public-betting read is a 50-50 split on both tickets and money, so there is no crowd lean to fade or follow.
What the market says
The moneyline says Tampa Bay is the better side, but not by much. A road favorite at -135 still has to earn it, and the price leaves Minnesota enough room to matter if the game stays close. The Wild’s +114 does not require much to be live, especially at home, while Tampa Bay is asking bettors to pay a modest premium for the more likely winner.
Matchup factors
The strongest sourced angle is Minnesota’s recent form. NHL.com’s game recap from Nov. 6 says the Wild beat San Jose 4-1, were on a three-game winning streak, and had gone 6-0-1 over their previous seven. That matters because it gives the home team some current momentum, even if the recap also notes those results came before this matchup and should not be treated as a guarantee. NHL.com’s status report also said Jared Spurgeon would not play in back-to-back home games against San Jose and Tampa Bay, which adds some uncertainty to Minnesota’s blue line.
Betting angle
Tampa Bay is still the more likely winner, but the straight moneyline price is not attractive enough to force a play. Minnesota +114 is the more appealing underdog price, and Wild +1.5 is the safer way to back the home side if you want some insurance against a one-goal loss. The total is harder to press from the available evidence, though the under at -125 is the better side of the number if you lean toward a tighter game.
Pick
Tampa Bay Lightning
Projected score
Lightning 3, Wild 2
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Minnesota Wild +1.5