New Mexico State Aggies vs Gonzaga Bulldogs Predictions
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 5:00pm EST at McCarthey Athletic Center, Spokane, WA
Bulldogs
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New Mexico State vs. Gonzaga Prediction: Bulldogs Favored, but Moneyline Is Too Costly
Analysis updated November 7, 2026 at 3:09 AM CST
Gonzaga has the stronger opening-game shooting numbers, but one result per team cannot justify its -50000 SPF price.
Why Gonzaga's price is hard to back
Gonzaga is the likely winner at home, but the -50000 SPF moneyline offers little return while demanding near certainty. New Mexico State is +4000, and no spread is available, so there isn't a playable side at a more reasonable price.
RealGM, a basketball statistics and transactions site, lists both teams at 1-0. Gonzaga scored 78 points in its opener while shooting 43.4% from the field and 37.5% from three. New Mexico State scored 73 points on 41.4% shooting overall and 33.3% from three. Those early figures favor Gonzaga, but each comes from one game.
The total also lacks a clear edge
The SPF total is 151.5, with the over at -108 and the under at -112. Gonzaga and New Mexico State scored 151 combined points in their separate openers, but that comparison doesn't account for opponent strength or establish either team's pace.
New Mexico State allowed 66 points on 35.3% shooting in its opener, while Gonzaga allowed 72 points on 47.3% shooting. Those defensive results point in different directions, and one game per team isn't enough to support an over or under wager. Pass on the total and the moneyline.