Iowa State
Cyclones
Spread
+10
NCAAF Predictions
Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears Predictions
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 12:00pm EST at McLane Stadium, Waco, TX
@
Baylor
Bears
Spread
-10
6%
94%
Spread
Iowa State Cyclones +10
Baylor Bears -10
Moneyline
Iowa State Cyclones +295
Baylor Bears -375
Total
Over 50.5 (-118)
Under 50.5 (-102)
Professional Picks
1 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Wes Salvato
Spread pick
Iowa State vs. Baylor Prediction: Bears Favored, but the Price Calls for a Pass
Analysis updated November 7, 2026 at 7:15 AM CST
Baylor is the likely winner at -355, though the limited evidence does not justify laying 10 points or betting the 51.5 total.
Baylor's price requires more evidence
Baylor's -355 moneyline makes the Bears the likely winner against Iowa State in Waco. The betting case is weaker: no records, recent results or season statistics are available to justify Baylor -10, while Iowa State's +280 price isn't enough reason to back an unsupported upset bid.
The best choice is to pass. Baylor can win without covering 10 points, and the available information does not support a projected score.
Absences create uncertainty at several positions
Kickoff Status, a college football availability tracker, lists Iowa State cornerbacks Beni Ngoyi and Keyon Washington, quarterback Connor Moberly and defensive tackle Ka'Mori Moore as out. It lists running back Arnold Barnes III, defensive tackle Bryson Lamb, defensive ends Malaki Ta'ase and Trey Verdon, and wide receiver Omari Hayes as available.
Baylor's listed absences are wide receiver Ashton Jones, offensive lineman Cayden Tone, defensive lineman Devonte Tezino, safety Jacob Redding and cornerback Jamarion Richardson. The report does not establish each player's role or identify the replacements, so those absences cannot support laying 10 points.
Betting splits do not settle the matchup
Cleatz, a betting-splits publication, reported that Baylor had 94% of moneyline tickets, 63% of spread tickets and 86% of spread handle on Saturday morning. Those percentages measure bettor preference, not Baylor's chance of covering.
The total is 51.5. Cleatz reported 80% of tickets on the over but 57% of the handle on the under. With no season statistics or weather report available, neither side of the total has a supportable edge.
Pick
Baylor Bears
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass