Philadelphia
Phillies
Moneyline
+104
MLB Predictions
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Predictions
Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 4:10pm EST at Citi Field, Queens, New York
@
New York
Mets
Moneyline
-126
67%
33%
Spread
Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
New York Mets -1.5
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies +104
New York Mets -126
Total
Over 8 (-110)
Under 8 (-110)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
1 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Matt O'Brien
Total pick
Mets vs. Phillies Prediction: Scott Gives New York the Edge
Analysis updated September 19, 2026 at 6:31 AM CDT
New York has the stronger probable starter, but its recent pitching leaves room for Philadelphia at Citi Field.
Scott leads the Mets' case
Christian Scott's 3.76 ERA against Andrew Painter's 5.54 gives the Mets a starting-pitching advantage that fits their status as SPF's -126 favorite. Sports news site Bleacher Nation / Data Skrive lists both right-handers as probable starters for Saturday's 4:10 p.m. ET game at Citi Field.
The same report gives New York the recent power edge: 15 home runs and a .417 slugging percentage over its last 10 games, compared with Philadelphia's nine homers and .380 slugging percentage. That makes the Mets the winner pick, with low confidence.
Betting recommendation: Pass
New York's pitchers have allowed 18 home runs with a 4.70 ERA over the last 10 games. Philadelphia's staff has a 4.18 ERA in that span, and the report lists Mets reliever Devin Williams on the injured list with a shoulder injury. Those concerns keep me from backing New York at -126; they don't establish value on Philadelphia at +104.
SPF's total is 8, with both sides at -110. The recent home runs suggest scoring risk, but without confirmed lineups, the evidence doesn't support an over or under wager.
Pick
New York Mets
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass