Murray State Racers vs Oklahoma State Cowboys Predictions

Can Oklahoma State sustain its rushing advantage?

Oklahoma State out-rushed Oregon 237-90 in a 39-31 win, according to Yahoo Sports / The Oklahoman, which carries reporting from the Oklahoma newspaper. That performance points toward a Cowboys win over Murray State, but SPF's -56.5 requires them to win by at least 57 points.

The same outlet reports that Oklahoma State also lost 24-10 at Tulsa. Drew Mestemaker accounted for 426 yards and three touchdowns against Oregon, but the Cowboys' two results don't justify expecting the sustained scoring needed to cover this spread.

Murray State's Tyrell Campbell entered with 224 rushing yards and a 7.1-yard average, also reported by Yahoo Sports / The Oklahoman. If he can extend possessions, the Racers could limit Oklahoma State's scoring opportunities. His production alone doesn't establish that he can do it against this defense, so it isn't a sufficient reason to take the points.

Betting decision: Pass

SPF lists the total at 70.5, with over -108 and under -112. Murray State allowed 28, 38 and 18 points in its first three games, but those results offer little basis for projecting this matchup's combined scoring. Pass on the total and spread. The moneyline price is unavailable, so there's no win-only wager to assess.