NBA Predictions

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Predictions

Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 8:30pm EST at Toyota Center (Houston), Houston, TX

Oklahoma City

Thunder

Spread +3.5
@
Houston

Rockets

Spread -3.5
50% 50%
Spread Oklahoma City Thunder +3.5 Houston Rockets -3.5
Moneyline Oklahoma City Thunder +136 Houston Rockets -162
Total Over 219.5 (-105) Under 219.5 (-115)

Who wins this game?

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Thunder vs. Rockets Prediction: Oklahoma City’s Absences Make Houston the Favorite

Analysis updated October 31, 2026 at 2:37 AM CDT

The NBA lists six Oklahoma City players as out, including Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams. Houston is the likely winner, but its unreported injury status makes -3.5 and -162 difficult to justify.

Six Thunder players are out

The NBA injury report lists Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Thomas Sorber, Nikola Topic, Cason Wallace and Jalen Williams as out for Oklahoma City’s visit to Houston at 8:30 p.m. ET. Those confirmed absences help explain why the Rockets are 3.5-point home favorites and -162 on the moneyline.

Houston hadn’t submitted its injury report when the NBA issued its 3:15 a.m. update. Without the Rockets’ availability or confirmed starters, there isn’t enough information to determine whether Houston’s personnel advantage warrants laying 3.5 points or paying -162.

Prediction

The SPF price makes Houston the likelier winner, with Oklahoma City at +136 and the Rockets at -162. The total is 219.5, but the missing Houston injury information also makes an over or under bet difficult to support.

Houston is the pick to win, but the wager is a pass until both teams’ availability is known.

Pick Houston Rockets
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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