Cal Poly
Mustangs
4-5
Spread
+27.5
NCAAF Predictions
Cal Poly Mustangs vs Montana State Bobcats Predictions
Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 3:00pm EST at Bobcat Stadium (MT), Bozeman, MT
@
Montana State
Bobcats
7-1
Spread
-27.5
50%
50%
Spread
Cal Poly Mustangs +27.5
Montana State Bobcats -27.5
Moneyline
Cal Poly Mustangs +1160
Montana State Bobcats -3800
Total
Over 64.5 (-112)
Under 64.5 (-110)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
0 available
Professional Picks On This Game
No professional picks are available for this matchup.
Cal Poly at Montana State Prediction: Bobcats Favored, but 27.5 Points Is a Steep Price
Analysis updated October 31, 2026 at 1:48 AM CDT
Montana State entered with the Big Sky's highest scoring average, while Cal Poly brought productive passing and rushing leaders to Bozeman. The Bobcats should win, but the evidence doesn't justify laying 27.5 points.
Montana State has the stronger profile
Fubo Sports reported that Montana State entered the October 31 home game 7-1 overall and 4-1 in Big Sky play, compared with Cal Poly's 4-5 overall and 3-3 conference record. The Bobcats also led the Big Sky with 39.5 points per game, supporting their status as -3800 moneyline favorites.
Montana State quarterback Justin Lamson had 1,320 passing yards and 10 touchdown passes, while running back Adam Jones had 521 rushing yards and nine scores. Those numbers favor the Bobcats to win, but a -3800 moneyline offers little value.
Cal Poly's production makes the spread harder to trust
Cal Poly quarterback Anthony Grigsby Jr. had thrown for 2,142 yards and 17 touchdowns, and Jaden Green had rushed for 894 yards and six scores. That production doesn't make the Mustangs a strong upset pick, but it raises the risk of laying 27.5 points with Montana State.
The available reporting doesn't provide defensive statistics, recent results, injuries or confirmed starters. Without that information, there isn't enough evidence to back either side of the spread or the 64.5-point total. Pass.
Pick
Montana State Bobcats
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass