NCAAF Predictions

Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos Predictions

Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 10:00pm EST at Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID

Texas State

Bobcats

Spread +10.5
@
Boise State

Broncos

6-1
Spread -10.5
50% 50%
Spread Texas State Bobcats +10.5 Boise State Broncos -10.5
Moneyline Texas State Bobcats +340 Boise State Broncos -440
Total Over 63.5 (-115) Under 63.5 (-105)

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Texas State vs. Boise State Prediction: Pass on Broncos at -425

Analysis updated October 30, 2026 at 8:47 AM CDT

Boise State has the better record and home field, but Texas State enters Saturday's game on a two-game winning streak.

Texas State’s defense faces a bigger test

Boise State is 6-1 overall and 3-0 in Pac-12 play, compared with Texas State at 4-3 and 2-1. Those records and the game at Albertsons Stadium make the Broncos the likely winner, but they don’t show whether Boise State can cover an 11.5-point spread.

Texas State Athletics reports that the Bobcats have won two straight after holding Utah State to 285 total yards and 73 rushing yards in a 20-17 victory. Brad Jackson threw for 167 yards and added a rushing touchdown. That result supports caution with Boise State -11.5, though one game isn’t enough to justify a bet on Texas State.

The price calls for a pass

Boise State’s -425 moneyline requires bettors to risk too much without verified starters, injury information or a broader statistical comparison. Texas State’s +330 price doesn’t create value by itself, and missing evidence isn’t a reason to back the underdog.

The total is 63.5, with the over at -115 and the under at -105. Texas State’s latest defensive performance is relevant, but there isn’t enough season-long evidence to project the scoring pace. The moneyline, spread and total are all passes.

Pick Boise State Broncos
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
Odds and availability can change. Confirm current markets before placing a wager.
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