Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos Predictions
Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 10:00pm EST at Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Broncos
6-1Who wins this game?
Professional Picks On This Game
Texas State vs. Boise State Prediction: Pass on Broncos at -425
Analysis updated October 30, 2026 at 8:47 AM CDT
Boise State has the better record and home field, but Texas State enters Saturday's game on a two-game winning streak.
Texas State’s defense faces a bigger test
Boise State is 6-1 overall and 3-0 in Pac-12 play, compared with Texas State at 4-3 and 2-1. Those records and the game at Albertsons Stadium make the Broncos the likely winner, but they don’t show whether Boise State can cover an 11.5-point spread.
Texas State Athletics reports that the Bobcats have won two straight after holding Utah State to 285 total yards and 73 rushing yards in a 20-17 victory. Brad Jackson threw for 167 yards and added a rushing touchdown. That result supports caution with Boise State -11.5, though one game isn’t enough to justify a bet on Texas State.
The price calls for a pass
Boise State’s -425 moneyline requires bettors to risk too much without verified starters, injury information or a broader statistical comparison. Texas State’s +330 price doesn’t create value by itself, and missing evidence isn’t a reason to back the underdog.
The total is 63.5, with the over at -115 and the under at -105. Texas State’s latest defensive performance is relevant, but there isn’t enough season-long evidence to project the scoring pace. The moneyline, spread and total are all passes.