New Mexico
Lobos
6-1
Spread
-14.5
NCAAF Predictions
New Mexico Lobos vs San José State Spartans Predictions
Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 4:00pm EST at CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, CA
@
San José State
Spartans
4-4
Spread
+14.5
50%
50%
Spread
New Mexico Lobos -14.5
San José State Spartans +14.5
Moneyline
New Mexico Lobos -650
San José State Spartans +470
Total
Over 42.5 (-110)
Under 42.5 (-110)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
2 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Benjamin Sturn
Total pick
Jason Manning
Spread pick
New Mexico vs. San José State Prediction: Defensive Questions Point to a Pass
Analysis updated October 30, 2026 at 8:23 AM CDT
The Lobos are the likely winners, but two of their most productive defensive starters remain questionable before Saturday’s game.
New Mexico’s defensive absences matter at this price
New Mexico visits San José State as a 14.5-point favorite, but the status of two every-game defensive starters makes that spread difficult to back. Yahoo Sports / Albuquerque Journal reports that boundary end Darren Agu and boundary safety Tavian Combs are questionable. Agu has a team-high 28 quarterback pressures and four sacks, while Combs has four interceptions and 28 tackles.
The Lobos will already be without linebacker Jaxton Eck and receiver Shawn Miller, while receiver Abraham Williams is questionable. San José State receiver Jase Nix is out, and four Spartans are questionable, including offensive lineman Tyler Chen. A second Mountain West availability report is due before kickoff, so either roster could change after the current price was set.
The market favors New Mexico, but the wager does not
New Mexico is 6-1 and San José State is 4-4, according to iHeart Sports Bay Area. SPF lists the Lobos at -650 on the moneyline and the Spartans at +470. That price makes New Mexico the likely winner, but it offers little return while Agu and Combs remain uncertain.
The ScoresAndOdds consensus page reports that San José State has attracted 61% of spread tickets and 56% of spread money at +14.5. Those figures do not prove the underdog will cover, but they also provide no reason to lay two touchdowns with New Mexico before the final availability report. Pass on both the spread and the expensive Lobos moneyline.
Pick
New Mexico Lobos
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass