NCAAF Predictions

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Vanderbilt Commodores Predictions

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 7:00pm EST at FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN

Arkansas

Razorbacks

2-4
Spread +6
@
Vanderbilt

Commodores

3-3
Spread -6
50% 50%
Spread Arkansas Razorbacks +6 Vanderbilt Commodores -6
Moneyline Arkansas Razorbacks +185 Vanderbilt Commodores -225
Total Over 49.5 (-112) Under 49.5 (-108)

Who wins this game?

Professional Picks

Professional Picks On This Game

6 available
Staff Preview

Arkansas at Vanderbilt Prediction: Commodores Favored, but Pass at -6

Analysis updated October 16, 2026 at 8:29 AM CDT

Vanderbilt is the likely winner at home, but its 0-3 SEC record and the lack of confirmed personnel and performance data make -6 and -225 poor bets.

Vanderbilt's price requires caution

SEC Country reports that Vanderbilt enters Saturday's game 3-3 overall and 0-3 in the SEC, while Arkansas is 2-4 and also 0-3 in conference play. Vanderbilt's better overall record and home field support its status as the favorite, but neither team has won a conference game.

SportsPicksForum lists Vanderbilt at -225 on the moneyline and -6 against the spread. With no confirmed starters, injuries or season statistics available, there isn't enough evidence to pay the moneyline price or expect Vanderbilt to win by a touchdown.

Recent results and weather

Arkansas lost 24-17 to Tennessee in its most recent game, while Vanderbilt fell 52-17 to Ole Miss, according to SEC Country. Arkansas' narrower loss is worth noting, but one result doesn't establish value on the Razorbacks at +6.

The Nashville forecast from timeanddate.com / CustomWeather calls for no precipitation and 9 mph wind Saturday. Those conditions offer no clear reason to bet over or under the 49.5 total.

Prediction

Vanderbilt is the likely winner because it has the better overall record, is playing at home and is favored by six points. The available evidence doesn't support a wager on the side, moneyline or total, so the betting lean is Pass.

Pick Vanderbilt Commodores
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
Odds and availability can change. Confirm current markets before placing a wager.
Previous Matchups