Florida
Gators
Spread
+11.5
NCAAF Predictions
Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns Predictions
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 12:00pm EST at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
@
Texas
Longhorns
Spread
-11.5
50%
50%
Spread
Florida Gators +11.5
Texas Longhorns -11.5
Moneyline
Florida Gators +340
Texas Longhorns -440
Total
Over 51.5 (-105)
Under 51.5 (-115)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
5 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Garrett Perry
Spread pick
Franny DiStefano
Total pick
King Jon Sanderson
Spread pick
Scott Steele
Spread pick
Chris Cohen
Spread pick
Florida at Texas Prediction: Gators' QB Decision Limits Betting Case
Analysis updated October 16, 2026 at 7:38 AM CDT
Texas is the likelier winner, but Florida's uncertainty at quarterback isn't enough by itself to justify the Longhorns' steep price.
Florida awaits a quarterback decision
Saturday Down South, an SEC football news site, reports that Florida quarterback Aaron Philo is managing a shoulder injury. He threw at Thursday's practice but remains a likely game-time decision for Saturday's noon ET game at Texas. Tramell Jones is in line to start if Philo cannot play.
Philo has thrown for 1,341 yards, nine touchdowns and three interceptions in six games, while adding three rushing touchdowns. His possible absence matters against an 11.5-point favorite, but there is no evidence showing how Florida's offense would perform with Jones. Florida has also lost two straight games.
Betting outlook
SPF lists Texas at -440 on the moneyline and -11.5 against the spread, with Florida at +340. Those prices make Texas the likelier winner, but the available information does not establish that the Longhorns should cover a double-digit spread. The same limitation applies to the 51.5 total because there are no confirmed matchup statistics, weather details or broader personnel reports supporting either side.
The pick is Texas to win with low confidence. The wager is Pass.
Pick
Texas Longhorns
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass