Arizona State
Sun Devils
3-2
Spread
+15.5
NCAAF Predictions
Arizona State Sun Devils vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Predictions
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 3:30pm EST at Galaxy Stadium, Lubbock, TX
@
Texas Tech
Red Raiders
5-0
Spread
-15.5
50%
50%
Spread
Arizona State Sun Devils +15.5
Texas Tech Red Raiders -15.5
Moneyline
Arizona State Sun Devils +500
Texas Tech Red Raiders -700
Total
Over 50.5 (-108)
Under 50.5 (-112)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
6 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Don Williams
Spread pick
Franny DiStefano
Total pick
King Jon Sanderson
Total pick
Danny Soros
Total pick
Scott Steele
Total pick
Percy Walker
Spread pick
Arizona State vs. Texas Tech Prediction: Red Raiders Should Win, but Pass at -15.5
Analysis updated October 16, 2026 at 8:10 AM CDT
Texas Tech has won 11 straight home games and owns a major second-half scoring advantage, but the SPF spread asks the Red Raiders to cover more than two touchdowns.
Texas Tech’s second-half strength stands out
Texas Tech is 5-0 overall and 2-0 in the Big 12 entering Saturday’s home game, while Arizona State is 3-2 and 1-1 in conference play. The Washington Post / Associated Press reports that the Red Raiders have won 11 consecutive home games and are coming off an open date, supporting their status as the likely winner.
The Red Raiders lead the Big 12 and rank third nationally with a plus-72 point differential after halftime. That finishing strength matters against the 15.5-point spread because Texas Tech may need to build its margin after the break.
Arizona State’s recent results offer little clarity
Arizona State beat Hawaii in its latest game after losing 55-19 at home to Baylor. That swing makes it difficult to judge whether the Sun Devils can stay within two touchdowns in Lubbock.
There are no confirmed starters, current injury updates or opponent-specific efficiency figures in the available reporting. Will Hammond returned for Texas Tech’s season opener after last season’s right-knee ACL injury, but that fact doesn’t establish his current status or justify laying a large spread.
The prices call for a pass
SPF lists Texas Tech at -700 on the moneyline and -15.5 against the spread, with Arizona State at +500 and +15.5. Texas Tech should win, but the moneyline offers little return and the spread demands a margin greater than two touchdowns without enough matchup information to support it.
The total is 50.5, with the over at -108 and the under at -112. Neither side of the total is supportable without current offensive, defensive or availability data. The recorded 50-50 moneyline split is a default value rather than sourced public betting information, so it shouldn’t influence the pick.
Pick
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass