Kansas
Jayhawks
Spread
+3.5
NCAAF Predictions
Kansas Jayhawks vs Kansas State Wildcats Predictions
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 12:00pm EST at Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS
@
Kansas State
Wildcats
Spread
-3.5
50%
50%
Spread
Kansas Jayhawks +3.5
Kansas State Wildcats -3.5
Moneyline
Kansas Jayhawks +145
Kansas State Wildcats -175
Total
Over 55.5 (-105)
Under 55.5 (-115)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
5 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Elijah Murtah
Total pick
Primetime Ryan Johnson
Total pick
Casper Kohke
Total pick
Scott Steele
Spread pick
Chris Cohen
Spread pick
Kansas State vs. Kansas Prediction: Wildcats Favored, but -198 Is a Pass
Analysis updated October 16, 2026 at 7:34 AM CDT
Kansas State's rivalry streak points to the likely winner, but it doesn't make the Wildcats worth backing at the SPF price.
Kansas vs. Kansas State odds
SPF lists Kansas State as a 4.5-point home favorite and -198 on the moneyline. Kansas is +164. The total is 55.5, with -115 on the under and -105 on the over.
The Washington Post / Associated Press reports that Kansas State has won 17 consecutive meetings with Kansas. That history and Saturday's game in Manhattan make the Wildcats the likelier winner, but -198 is too expensive without confirmed starters, injury information, current records or season statistics. The betting lean is Pass.
Recent losses leave questions on both sides
Kansas has lost to Arizona State, Missouri and Utah this season. Kansas State enters after a close loss at Cincinnati and a lopsided home loss to Houston. Quarterback Avery Johnson returned to Kansas State for 2026, but the available reporting doesn't confirm his current status or establish an advantage strong enough to support Kansas State -4.5.
The National Weather Service forecasts sunshine, a high near 58 degrees and a south wind around 5 mph Saturday afternoon after morning frost. Those conditions don't provide a clear reason to bet over or under 55.5.
Pick
Kansas State Wildcats
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass