Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes Predictions

Miami has the stronger position

State of The U reports that No. 3 Miami enters Saturday’s home game at 5-0 overall and 3-0 in the ACC after a bye. Florida State is 3-3 overall and 1-2 in conference play. Those records make Miami the likely winner, but they do not show that the Hurricanes should be favored by more than three touchdowns. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

Florida State has losses across the roster

Yahoo Sports / FSU Wire reports that Florida State will be without running back Sam Singleton Jr., wide receiver Devin Carter, four linebackers and three defensive backs. Defensive lineman Darryll Desir, defensive back Zae Thomas and offensive lineman Paul Bowling are probable.

Miami also has six players listed out, including running back CharMar Brown, wide receiver Joshua Moore and offensive lineman Max Buchanan. The injury report favors Miami, but no available production data establishes how much those absences should affect the spread.

The SPF prices call for a pass

SportsPicksForum lists Miami at -1800 on the moneyline and -21.5 against the spread, with Florida State at +1000 and +21.5. The total is 56.5, with over -112 and under -108.

Miami should win, but the -1800 return is too small for the uncertainty involved. Covering -21.5 requires a dominant margin that the available records and availability report cannot justify. There also is not enough scoring evidence to support a total wager or exact score prediction.