NHL Predictions

Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions

Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 7:00pm EST at Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL

Minnesota

Wild

Moneyline +130
@
Tampa Bay

Lightning

14-20-4
Moneyline -155
50% 50%
Spread Minnesota Wild +1.5 Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5
Moneyline Minnesota Wild +130 Tampa Bay Lightning -155
Total Over 5.5 (-130) Under 5.5 (+110)

Who wins this game?

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Wild vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Favored, but -148 Is a Pass

Analysis updated October 8, 2026 at 1:13 AM CDT

The Lightning are unbeaten at home entering Thursday, but their unconfirmed lineup and starting goalie limit the case for laying -148.

Minnesota Wild vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

Tampa Bay is a -148 home favorite, while Minnesota is +124. The puck line is Lightning -1.5 and Wild +1.5. The total is 5.5, with the over priced at -130 and the under at +110.

Tampa Bay's Home Edge

TampaBayLightning.com reports that Tampa Bay enters Thursday unbeaten at home. The Lightning are also 11-6-2 at home against Minnesota all-time, giving them the stronger case to win this first of two regular-season meetings.

Tampa Bay's combinations from Monday included Brayden Point between Gage Goncalves and Nikita Kucherov, with Brandon Hagel, Anthony Cirelli and Jake Guentzel on the next line. The team noted that those combinations could change, so they shouldn't be treated as Thursday's confirmed lineup.

The starting goalie is also unconfirmed. Andrei Vasilevskiy and Dennis Hildeby were the goalies listed Monday. Vasilevskiy owns a 7-7-2 career record and a .907 save percentage against Minnesota, but those numbers matter only if he starts.

Prediction and Betting Outlook

Tampa Bay is the likely winner, but -148 is too expensive without a confirmed goalie or current lineup. There also isn't enough supported information about Minnesota's form or availability to justify betting either side. Pass on the moneyline.

Pick Tampa Bay Lightning
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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