Arizona State Sun Devils vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Predictions
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 3:30pm EST
Red Raiders
Professional Picks On This Game
Arizona State vs. Texas Tech Prediction: Castellanos Returns, but the Bet Is a Pass
Analysis updated October 17, 2026 at 8:12 AM CDT
Texas Tech is the likely winner, but neither its -700 moneyline nor the 15.5-point spread offers a supported wager.
Castellanos returns for Texas Tech
Texas Tech hosts Arizona State for Homecoming on Saturday at Galaxy Stadium in Lubbock, according to Texas Tech University Athletics. The Red Raiders are -700 to win and 15.5-point favorites at SportsPicksForum.
CBS Sports reports that quarterback Thomas Castellanos regained eligibility through a court injunction after missing the Colorado game. His return supports Texas Tech as the likely winner, but a -700 moneyline offers little return without team statistics or recent results to show that the price is justified.
Texas Tech's absences make the spread difficult to back
The Sports Wire, citing the Big 12 availability report, lists Texas Tech running back Cameron Dickey, wide receiver Donte Lee Jr., offensive lineman Elias Gillen, safety Maddox Quiller and cornerback S'Vioarean Martin as out. Offensive lineman Hunter Zambrano and wide receiver Jalen Jones are questionable. Those absences create too much uncertainty to lay 15.5 points.
The total is 49.5, with the over at -112 and the under at -108. No offensive, defensive or weather data is available to support either side of that market, so the betting lean is Pass.