The Citadel
Bulldogs
1-3
Spread
+17.5
NCAAF Predictions
The Citadel Bulldogs vs South Carolina State Bulldogs Predictions
Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 2:00pm EST at Oliver C. Dawson Stadium, Orangeburg, SC
@
South Carolina State
Bulldogs
5-0
Spread
-17.5
50%
50%
Spread
The Citadel Bulldogs +17.5
South Carolina State Bulldogs -17.5
Moneyline
The Citadel Bulldogs +574
South Carolina State Bulldogs -950
Total
Over 48.5 (-109)
Under 48.5 (-114)
Professional Picks
0 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
No professional picks are available for this matchup.
The Citadel vs. South Carolina State Prediction: Can the Favorite Cover 20.5?
Analysis updated October 3, 2026 at 7:36 AM CDT
South Carolina State should win at home, but the available evidence doesn’t justify laying 20.5 points.
South Carolina State’s rushing edge
South Carolina State University Athletics reports that the home Bulldogs enter Saturday’s game in Orangeburg at 5-0, while The Citadel is 1-3. South Carolina State averages 280.6 rushing yards per game. The Citadel allows 180.3 rushing yards per game and has surrendered 11 rushing touchdowns through four games, giving the favorite a clear way to control the matchup.
The Citadel averages 225.8 rushing yards, but South Carolina State has held opponents to 57.8 rushing yards per game. If The Citadel can’t run effectively, quarterbacks Quentin Hayes and Nick Billoups will face a defense with 18 sacks and 46 tackles for loss.
Prediction and betting lean
Recent results also favor South Carolina State, which beat Bethune-Cookman 31-21 for its fifth straight victory. The Citadel enters after a 27-8 loss to Chattanooga. Those results and the matchup on the ground make South Carolina State the likely winner.
The betting decision is less convincing. SPF lists South Carolina State at -20.5 and -2000, with a total of 47.5. No confirmed starters, injury information, or line movement is available, so there isn’t enough evidence to recommend the spread, total, or expensive moneyline. Pass.
Pick
South Carolina State Bulldogs
Confidence
medium
Betting lean
Pass