UTEP Miners vs New Mexico Lobos Predictions

A steep price on New Mexico

The Albuquerque Journal reports that New Mexico is 3-1 and UTEP is 1-3 entering Saturday's game at University Stadium. That record gap points to the Lobos as the likely winner, but SPF lists New Mexico at -2400 on the moneyline and -23.5 against the spread. Neither price offers room for uncertainty.

UTEP averages 18.8 points on 61.3 plays per game, according to the Albuquerque Journal. The Miners use formations, motion and shifts at a quick tempo, and New Mexico coach Jason Eck emphasized lining up correctly against those looks. That preparation issue gives UTEP a possible way to avoid an immediate mismatch, but it doesn't establish value on the Miners.

Prediction and betting view

New Mexico is the winner pick, but the wager is Pass. The available evidence doesn't support paying -2400 or projecting a victory of at least 24 points. SPF's total is 47.5, and the lack of defensive, weather and recent-scoring data also rules out a responsible over or under play.