Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders Predictions

Buffalo can run at Las Vegas

Buffalo is a 5.5-point road favorite with a -258 moneyline. Las Vegas is +210, and the total is 53.5.

CBS Sports reports that Buffalo ranks fourth with 790 rushing yards and leads the NFL with 13 rushing touchdowns through five games. Las Vegas has allowed 703 rushing yards, fourth-most in the league, giving the Bills a clear way to control the game.

Turnovers make Buffalo’s price hard to justify

The Raiders rank seventh with 1,317 passing yards and second with 12 passing touchdowns. Buffalo has allowed 1,479 passing yards, the NFL’s second-highest total, so Las Vegas has a direct way to keep pace.

Buffalo has nine turnovers over its past three games, including four by Josh Allen. The Bills have a minus-4 turnover differential, while the Raiders are plus-3 and tied for the league lead with 10 takeaways. Maxx Crosby’s 36 quarterback pressures, tied for third in the NFL, add to the risk of backing Buffalo at -258.

Buffalo’s rushing matchup makes it the more likely winner, but neither the moneyline nor the 5.5-point spread offers enough value given the turnover and pass-defense concerns. Pass.