Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Predictions
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 9:30am EST at Wembley Stadium, London
Jaguars
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Texans vs. Jaguars Prediction: Jacksonville Favored, but Limited Evidence Points to a Pass
Analysis updated October 18, 2026 at 7:02 AM CDT
Jacksonville allowed 232 yards in last week’s London win and ranks second in points allowed. The Jaguars are the likelier winner, but their -142 moneyline is a pass.
Jacksonville’s defense is the clearest matchup angle
The Jacksonville Jaguars report that their defense held Philadelphia to 232 total yards and 17 points in a 19-17 Week 5 win in London. Jacksonville also ranks second in the NFL in points allowed. Those results make the Jaguars the more supportable winner against Houston at Wembley Stadium.
The SPF line favors Jacksonville by 2.5 points and prices its moneyline at -142, with Houston at +120. The defensive evidence favors the Jaguars, but there isn’t enough verified information about current form, injuries or starters to determine whether Jacksonville is worth that price.
The total also lacks a betting case
The SPF total is 42.5, with the over at -105 and the under at -115. Jacksonville’s defense gives the under some appeal, but there’s no verified offensive evidence for either team. That leaves the moneyline, spread and total as passes.