NFL Predictions

New York Jets vs New England Patriots Predictions

Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 1:00pm EST at Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA

New York

Jets

Spread +7.5
@
New England

Patriots

Spread -7.5
50% 50%
Spread New York Jets +7.5 New England Patriots -7.5
Moneyline New York Jets +275 New England Patriots -345
Total Over 43.5 (-102) Under 43.5 (-118)
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Jets vs. Patriots Prediction: Turnovers Point to Jets +7.5

Analysis updated October 18, 2026 at 7:12 AM CDT

The Patriots are the likely winner, but New York’s pass defense and plus-3 turnover differential make the Jets more appealing at +7.5.

Jets vs. Patriots odds and prediction

New England is a 7.5-point home favorite and -360 on the moneyline, with the Jets at +285. The total is 43.5, with the over at -112 and the under at -108. The prices make the Patriots the likely winner, but Jets +7.5 is the better wager.

The New York Jets reported that New York ranked fourth in passing defense at 175 yards allowed per game and second in yards allowed per play at 4.62 through five games. The Jets also had a plus-3 turnover differential, while the Patriots were minus-5. Those advantages give New York a credible chance to stay within eight points.

Turnovers could keep New York close

Geno Smith had no interceptions through five games. Drake Maye had seven, and New England had committed 11 turnovers while forcing six. One more Patriots giveaway could give the Jets a short field and make it difficult for New England to cover a sizable spread.

New York also recorded eight sacks and limited Cleveland to 155 passing yards in its Week 5 win. That performance supports the matchup case for the Jets’ defense, although it doesn’t establish how either offense will perform Sunday.

The Jets activated wide receiver Omar Cooper Jr. from injured reserve and said he was set to play. The New England Patriots activated wide receiver A.J. Brown. Confirmed starters, a complete injury report, weather details and line movement aren’t available, so the lean carries low confidence.

Pick New England Patriots
Confidence low
Betting lean Jets +7.5
Odds and availability can change. Confirm current markets before placing a wager.
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