Texas Southern
Tigers
3-15
Spread
+3
NCAAF Predictions
Texas Southern Tigers vs Alcorn State Braves Predictions
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 4:00pm EST at Spinks-Casem Stadium, Lorman, MS
@
Alcorn State
Braves
Spread
-3
50%
50%
Spread
Texas Southern Tigers +3
Alcorn State Braves -3
Moneyline
Texas Southern Tigers +126
Alcorn State Braves -157
Total
Over 58.5 (-107)
Under 58.5 (-116)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
0 available
Professional Picks On This Game
No professional picks are available for this matchup.
Texas Southern vs. Alcorn State Prediction: Alcorn’s Passing Game Makes It the Likely Winner
Analysis updated September 26, 2026 at 8:14 AM CDT
Jaylon Tolbert leads a productive Alcorn State passing attack, but the Braves allow nearly as many yards as they gain. With key Texas Southern information unavailable, the wager is a pass.
Alcorn State’s passing game supports favorite status
Texas Southern University Athletics reports that Alcorn State averages 426.5 yards per game, including 297.5 through the air. Quarterback Jaylon Tolbert has thrown for 1,139 yards and 11 touchdowns. That production, along with home field, makes the Braves the likelier winner at SportsPicksForum’s -3 spread and -157 moneyline.
Alcorn State University Athletics lists the Braves at 2-2 overall and 1-0 in SWAC play, while Texas Southern is 1-2 and 0-1. Alcorn has also won the past two meetings, and Texas Southern is 1-5 at Alcorn State since 2011. Those results favor the Braves, but they don’t show whether this year’s team should cover three points.
Why the wager is a pass
Alcorn State allows 422.5 yards per game and enters after a 38-20 loss at North Alabama, according to Texas Southern University Athletics. That defensive record leaves little margin for a favorite laying a field goal.
No current Texas Southern statistics, confirmed starters or injury information are available. That missing evidence doesn’t make the underdog a bargain, but it prevents a sound comparison at either SPF price. Alcorn State is the projected winner; the betting lean is Pass.
Pick
Alcorn State Braves
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass