New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Predictions
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 12:35pm EST at Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia
Nationals
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks On This Game
Mets vs. Nationals Prediction: New York Is the Likely Winner, but Pass at -135
Analysis updated September 26, 2026 at 7:07 AM CDT
New York is favored at Washington, where an unusual Nationals pitching plan and a weather-driven time change make the matchup difficult to price.
Washington plans an early pitching change
Heavy reports that Nationals left-hander Connelly Early is expected to make his team debut, pitch two or three innings and give way to Jake Irvin in a bulk-relief role. Mets right-hander Jonah Tong is expected to start.
SPF prices New York at -135 and Washington at +112. The Mets are the likely winner at those odds, but the available evidence doesn't include current performance, bullpen or lineup data that would justify backing either team. SPF also lists New York at -1.5, but no run-line price is available.
The forecast doesn't support a total bet
Heavy reports that the game at Nationals Park was moved from 4:05 p.m. to 12:35 p.m. ET because of forecast inclement weather. The forecast cited a 55% chance of afternoon rain and winds around 13 mph.
SPF sets the total at 8.5, with over -105 and under -115. A chance of rain and moderate wind don't show whether scoring will rise or fall, so the total is also a pass.