NCAAF Predictions

San Diego State Aztecs vs Toledo Rockets Predictions

Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 2:00pm EST

San Diego State

Aztecs

Spread +3
@
Toledo

Rockets

Spread -3
50% 50%
Spread San Diego State Aztecs +3 Toledo Rockets -3
Moneyline San Diego State Aztecs +120 Toledo Rockets -142
Total Over 50.5 (-115) Under 50.5 (-105)

Who wins this game?

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San Diego State vs. Toledo Prediction: Rockets Favored, but Pass

Analysis updated September 26, 2026 at 7:22 AM CDT

San Diego State scored only 23 points across its past two games, but the available evidence is too thin to justify Toledo at -142 or another wager.

San Diego State's scoring puts Toledo in front

CBS Sports reported that San Diego State scored 23 combined points in its two games before Saturday's visit to the Glass Bowl. Another limited offensive performance would give Toledo a strong chance to win and cover the 3-point spread.

SPF lists Toledo as a 3-point favorite and -142 on the moneyline, while San Diego State is +120. Those prices make the Rockets the likely winner, but Toledo must win about 58.7 percent of the time for a -142 bet to break even.

Betting assessment

There isn't confirmed information here about starters, injuries, weather or either team's broader form. San Diego State's recent scoring supports a slight lean toward Toledo, but it doesn't establish that the Rockets are worth laying -3 or -142.

The 51.5 total also requires more evidence about both offenses and defenses. With no reliable basis for choosing a side or total at the listed prices, the betting lean is Pass.

Pick Toledo Rockets
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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