Colorado Buffaloes vs Baylor Bears Predictions

Lagway’s return shifts the matchup

Baylor Athletics reports that Lagway is expected to return after missing two games with a sprained right ankle. Wide receiver Jadon Porter, offensive lineman Logan Moore and safety Devin Turner are also expected back. Those returns make 2-1 Baylor the likelier winner, but the SPF moneyline of -380 leaves little room for uncertainty about Lagway’s health and effectiveness.

Colorado enters as a 9.5-point underdog after losing 41-7 at Northwestern and committing four turnovers. Baylor has forced six turnovers through three games, so another poor ball-security performance would make it difficult for Colorado to stay within the spread. The Bears have also committed seven turnovers, however, leaving them with a minus-1 turnover margin.

Can Baylor create separation?

Baylor rushed for 165 yards on 44 attempts against Louisiana Tech, an average of 3.75 yards per carry. Freshman Ryelan Morris gained 55 of those yards late in the game. That performance does not establish that Baylor can control Colorado on the ground, increasing the importance of Lagway’s return if the Bears are to cover -9.5.

Prediction and betting view

Baylor should win, but neither the -380 moneyline nor the -9.5 spread offers a supported wager. Colorado’s lineup and season-long performance profile are not confirmed in the available reporting, and there is no verified public betting split or line-movement history. Pass rather than treat those gaps as a reason to back either side.