MLB Predictions

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Predictions

Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 12:35pm EST at Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia

New York

Mets

Moneyline -135
@
Washington

Nationals

Moneyline +112
50% 50%
Spread New York Mets -1.5 Washington Nationals +1.5
Moneyline New York Mets -135 Washington Nationals +112
Total Over 8.5 (-105) Under 8.5 (-115)

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Mets vs. Nationals Prediction: New York Is the Likely Winner, but Pass at -135

Analysis updated September 26, 2026 at 7:07 AM CDT

New York is favored at Washington, where an unusual Nationals pitching plan and a weather-driven time change make the matchup difficult to price.

Washington plans an early pitching change

Heavy reports that Nationals left-hander Connelly Early is expected to make his team debut, pitch two or three innings and give way to Jake Irvin in a bulk-relief role. Mets right-hander Jonah Tong is expected to start.

SPF prices New York at -135 and Washington at +112. The Mets are the likely winner at those odds, but the available evidence doesn't include current performance, bullpen or lineup data that would justify backing either team. SPF also lists New York at -1.5, but no run-line price is available.

The forecast doesn't support a total bet

Heavy reports that the game at Nationals Park was moved from 4:05 p.m. to 12:35 p.m. ET because of forecast inclement weather. The forecast cited a 55% chance of afternoon rain and winds around 13 mph.

SPF sets the total at 8.5, with over -105 and under -115. A chance of rain and moderate wind don't show whether scoring will rise or fall, so the total is also a pass.

Pick New York Mets
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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