Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Texas State Bobcats Predictions, Odds & Picks

UIW’s offense challenges a large spread

University of the Incarnate Word Athletics reports that UIW ranks third in FCS scoring at 44.7 points per game and fifth in total offense at 507.3 yards per game. Quarterback Emmett Brown has thrown for 812 yards and accounted for six touchdowns, production that makes UIW +30.5 more appealing than Texas State’s -5000 moneyline.

Texas State has allowed 506.3 yards per game, the worst mark in FBS. The Bobcats should still score against UIW after Brad Jackson threw four touchdown passes and Torrance Burgess Jr. ran for 216 yards and two scores in a 49-35 win, but their defense has not shown that it can consistently separate from an opponent by more than four touchdowns.

Turnovers keep confidence low

UIW has committed 11 turnovers and forced only three, leaving the Cardinals with a minus-eight differential. Those lost possessions could give Texas State the short fields needed to cover, so UIW +30.5 is only a low-confidence lean.

The total is 64.5, with the over priced at -115 and the under at -105. Without confirmed starters, injury information or weather evidence, neither total offers a strong enough case to bet.

Pick Texas State Bobcats

Projected score Texas State Bobcats 41, Incarnate Word Cardinals 28

Confidence low

Betting lean Incarnate Word Cardinals +30.5

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Incarnate Word vs. Texas State Prediction: Can UIW Cover 30.5 Points?

UIW’s offense challenges a large spread

Turnovers keep confidence low