NCAAF Predictions

Missouri State Bears vs SMU Mustangs Predictions

Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 9:00pm EST at Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, TX

Missouri State

Bears

Spread +33.5
@
SMU

Mustangs

Spread -33.5
50% 50%
Spread Missouri State Bears +33.5 SMU Mustangs -33.5
Moneyline Missouri State Bears +2500 SMU Mustangs -9000
Total Over 59.5 (-110) Under 59.5 (-110)

Who wins this game?

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Missouri State vs. SMU Prediction: Pass at a Steep Price

Analysis updated September 26, 2026 at 2:44 AM CDT

SMU is heavily favored at home, but the available information doesn't support a bet on the winner, spread or total.

Missouri State vs. SMU betting preview

SMU is the likely winner, but laying -9000 on the moneyline offers little return for the risk. The alternative is giving Missouri State 33.5 points, and there aren't confirmed starters, injuries, recent results or season statistics available to support a margin of more than four touchdowns.

Taking Missouri State +33.5 would rely on the same missing information. A large underdog price alone doesn't show that the Bears can stay within the number, so neither side of the spread is worth backing.

Blue Chip Analytics lists clear conditions at Gerald J. Ford Stadium, with a temperature of 87 degrees, a 1% chance of rain and winds of 5 mph. That forecast doesn't create a clear weather-based angle on the 59.5 total, and there isn't enough team data to project the scoring. Pass on the game.

Pick SMU Mustangs
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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