Boise State
Broncos
Spread
-7.5
NCAAF Predictions
Boise State Broncos vs Western Michigan Broncos Predictions
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 3:30pm EST at Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, MI
@
Western Michigan
Broncos
2-1
Spread
+7.5
50%
50%
Spread
Boise State Broncos -7.5
Western Michigan Broncos +7.5
Moneyline
Boise State Broncos -285
Western Michigan Broncos +230
Total
Over 49.5 (-115)
Under 49.5 (-105)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
1 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Scott Steele
Spread pick
Boise State vs. Western Michigan Prediction: Boise Favored, but -285 Is Too Steep
Analysis updated September 26, 2026 at 8:01 AM CDT
Boise State has surpassed 500 yards in two straight games, but Western Michigan's early scoring defense makes the favorite difficult to back at SPF's prices.
Boise State's offense meets a sturdy defense
Mountain West Connection, a college sports publication, reports that Boise State produced more than 500 total yards in each of its past two games. Quarterback Maddux Madsen also entered Saturday with six touchdown passes and no interceptions through three games. That recent production makes Boise State the likely winner in Kalamazoo.
Western Michigan entered the matchup allowing 16.0 points per game. That record doesn't prove the home team can stop Boise State, but it raises the standard for laying 7.5 points with a road favorite. Both teams are 2-1, and the available information doesn't include enough detail about injuries or opponent quality to justify a confident margin.
Betting outlook
SPF lists Boise State at -285 on the moneyline and -7.5 against the spread. The Broncos' recent offense supports picking them to win, but the moneyline asks bettors to pay a heavy price and the spread requires a two-score victory. Neither wager offers enough value on the available evidence.
The total is 49.5, with the over at -115 and the under at -105. Boise State's yardage and Western Michigan's scoring defense point in opposite directions, so there isn't a sound total bet. The best betting decision is Pass.
Pick
Boise State Broncos
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass