Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets Predictions
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 1:00pm EST at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Jets
1-3Professional Picks On This Game
Browns vs. Jets Prediction: Cleveland +2.5 Against Short-Handed New York
Analysis updated October 11, 2026 at 7:08 AM CDT
The Browns have the stronger recent record and are getting 2.5 points against a Jets offense missing three starters.
New York’s absences favor Cleveland +2.5
The New York Jets report that running back Breece Hall, left guard Dylan Parham and wide receiver Adonai Mitchell won’t play Sunday. Hall and Parham will miss their second straight game. Those absences make it harder to back New York as a 2.5-point favorite, even with tight end Mason Taylor expected to return after a two-game absence.
Cleveland enters 3-1 after three consecutive wins, while New York is 1-3 after three straight losses. The Browns’ recent results and the Jets’ missing offensive starters make Cleveland +2.5 the better side of the SPF spread.
Both teams have started slowly
The Jets have scored 17 first-half points over their past three games, according to the team’s official preview. Cleveland has been outscored 27-3 in first quarters this season, so the Browns’ recent form doesn’t erase the risk of another slow start.
Garrett Wilson remains New York’s leading threat with 24 catches, 270 receiving yards and two receiving touchdowns. Cleveland is the more likely winner, but its early-game problems and the lack of confirmed starter information beyond the Jets’ report keep confidence low. Take the 2.5 points instead of relying on the Browns’ +114 moneyline.