Baltimore
Ravens
3-1
Spread
+3.5
NFL Predictions
Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons Predictions
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 8:20pm EST at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
@
Atlanta
Falcons
2-2
Spread
-3.5
50%
50%
Spread
Baltimore Ravens +3.5
Atlanta Falcons -3.5
Moneyline
Baltimore Ravens +150
Atlanta Falcons -180
Total
Over 44.5 (-102)
Under 44.5 (-118)
Professional Picks
1 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Wes Salvato
Spread pick
Ravens vs. Falcons Prediction: Is Atlanta Worth the Price Without Lamar Jackson?
Analysis updated October 11, 2026 at 7:38 AM CDT
Jackson’s absence gives Atlanta a clear advantage, but the Falcons’ -175 moneyline and 3-point spread demand more confidence than the available evidence supports.
Jackson’s absence shifts the matchup
The Baltimore Ravens report that Lamar Jackson will miss Sunday night’s game with an ankle injury and Tyler Huntley is expected to start. That quarterback change is the strongest reason to favor the 2-2 Falcons at home against the 3-1 Ravens.
SPF lists Atlanta at -3 and -175, with Baltimore at +145 and the total at 43.5. Jackson’s absence makes Atlanta the likely winner, but it doesn’t establish that the Falcons offer value at either price.
Baltimore still has a path to a close game
Baltimore can reduce the burden on Huntley by featuring Derrick Henry, who has nine runs of at least 10 yards this season. The Ravens’ 39 enforced penalties entering Week 5 are a bigger concern because a backup quarterback leaves less room to recover from avoidable mistakes.
The Baltimore Ravens also list wide receiver Zay Flowers and guard Andrew Vorhees as questionable with foot injuries. The team elevated offensive linemen Chuma Edoga and Kyle Hergel, while left tackle Ronnie Stanley is expected to play. Those unsettled pieces make Baltimore harder to project, particularly if Flowers can’t build on his 118 receiving yards from Week 4.
Prediction and betting view
Atlanta is the pick to win, but the side is a pass. The -175 moneyline is expensive for a matchup with limited evidence beyond Baltimore’s quarterback change, and laying 3 points requires Atlanta to create separation from a Ravens team that can lean on Henry.
Pass on the 43.5 total as well. The available information doesn’t provide the offensive or defensive performance data needed to support an over or under wager.
Pick
Atlanta Falcons
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass