NFL Predictions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins Predictions

Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 1:00pm EST at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Cincinnati

Bengals

2-2
Spread -7
@
Miami

Dolphins

0-4
Spread +7
50% 50%
Spread Cincinnati Bengals -7 Miami Dolphins +7
Moneyline Cincinnati Bengals -345 Miami Dolphins +275
Total Over 44.5 (-115) Under 44.5 (-105)
Professional Picks

Professional Picks On This Game

5 listed
Staff Preview

Bengals vs. Dolphins Prediction: Receiver Injuries Cloud Cincinnati’s Price

Analysis updated October 11, 2026 at 7:06 AM CDT

Joe Burrow gives Cincinnati the edge over winless Miami, but the status of his top two receivers makes the SPF prices hard to justify.

Bengals vs. Dolphins outlook

Joe Burrow has seven touchdown passes and a 99.5 passer rating through four games, giving Cincinnati a clear advantage over an 0-4 Miami team. The Bengals are 2-2, though they enter Sunday’s game at Hard Rock Stadium after consecutive losses to Pittsburgh and Jacksonville.

Burrow may not have his usual receiving group. NFL.com lists Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins as questionable after both left Cincinnati’s previous game with injuries. Colbie Young is also questionable. Those availability questions matter with the Bengals favored by seven points.

Cincinnati can pressure Miami in another way. The Bengals rank second in run stuff rate at 32.3%, while defensive tackle Dexter Lawrence has 3.0 sacks and four tackles for loss. Dolphins running back Jaylen Wright is questionable with a foot injury.

Why the SPF prices warrant a pass

Miami’s defense has its own serious absences. NFL.com lists edge rusher Robert Beal Jr. and cornerbacks Reese Taylor and Storm Duck as out. Miami did record a season-high four sacks at Minnesota in Week 4, but its depleted secondary now faces Burrow.

The SPF moneyline makes Cincinnati a -355 favorite, with Miami at +280. The Bengals are also -7, and the total is 43.5. Cincinnati is the likely winner, but backing it at either price requires more confidence in Chase and Higgins than their questionable designations allow. Miami’s 0-4 record and defensive absences make the underdog difficult to support as well, so the best betting decision is to pass.

Pick Cincinnati Bengals
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
Odds and availability can change. Confirm current markets before placing a wager.
Previous Matchups