Las Vegas
Raiders
Spread
+3.5
NFL Predictions
Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots Predictions
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 1:00pm EST at Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
@
New England
Patriots
Spread
-3.5
50%
50%
Spread
Las Vegas Raiders +3.5
New England Patriots -3.5
Moneyline
Las Vegas Raiders +150
New England Patriots -180
Total
Over 45.5 (+100)
Under 45.5 (-120)
Professional Picks
4 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Wes Salvato
Spread pick
Don Williams
Spread pick
Brooke Smolka
Total pick
Bryan Pratt
Spread pick
Raiders vs. Patriots Prediction: New England Favored, but Evidence Is Limited
Analysis updated October 11, 2026 at 7:13 AM CDT
Kirk Cousins enters with an NFL-leading 11 touchdown passes, but the available evidence does not support a wager on either side.
Raiders vs. Patriots odds
New England is a 3.5-point home favorite and -185 on the moneyline. Las Vegas is +3.5 and +154. The total is 45.5, with the over at -105 and the under at -115.
Cousins gives Las Vegas a chance
NBC Sports / Pro Football Talk reports that Raiders quarterback Kirk Cousins has thrown 11 touchdown passes through four games, tied for the NFL lead. Las Vegas is coming off its first loss, and Sunday will be Cousins' fifth game with the team. His scoring production is the clearest reason the Raiders could challenge the favorite.
Prediction and betting outlook
The SPF price makes New England the likely winner, but there is no confirmed starter, injury, weather or broader team-stat information to justify laying 3.5 points or paying -185. Cousins' touchdown total alone does not establish value on Las Vegas, either. Pass on the side and total.
Pick
New England Patriots
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass