Miami
Marlins
Moneyline
+177
MLB Predictions
Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Predictions
Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 7:40pm EST
@
Chicago
Cubs
Moneyline
-217
50%
50%
Spread
Miami Marlins +1.5
Chicago Cubs -1.5
Moneyline
Miami Marlins +177
Chicago Cubs -217
Total
Over 6.5 (-115)
Under 6.5 (-105)
Professional Picks
2 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Garrett Perry
Spread pick
Simon Says
Total pick
Marlins vs. Cubs Prediction: Similar Starter ERAs Leave -218 Hard to Back
Analysis updated September 22, 2026 at 5:18 AM CDT
Gausman's lower WHIP favors Chicago, but the probable starters' numbers don't establish that the Cubs warrant a -218 bet.
Probable pitchers and the moneyline
The probable starters have nearly identical ERAs. Yahoo Sports lists Kevin Gausman for Chicago with a 4.55 ERA and 1.27 WHIP, against Miami's Janson Junk at 4.50 and 1.34. Gausman has allowed fewer walks and hits per inning, but that difference alone doesn't justify SPF's -218 Cubs moneyline.
That price requires Chicago to win about 68.6% of the time to break even. The Cubs are the market's likely winner, but these pitching figures don't establish that win probability. Miami's +178 price isn't enough to make the Marlins a worthwhile bet either. The moneyline recommendation is Pass.
Total and run line
SPF lists the total at 6.5, with over -118 and under -102. Without confirmed lineups, bullpen availability or weather information, the starters' ERAs alone don't support either side of that total.
Chicago is -1.5 on the run line and Miami is +1.5. Run-line prices are unavailable, so pass on that market.
Pick
Chicago Cubs
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass