Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers Predictions

The starting pitchers favor Detroit

Detroit's clearest advantage at SPF's -157 moneyline is the probable pitching matchup. Sports news agency Field Level Media lists Drew Anderson with a 3.62 ERA against Washington left-hander Jackson Kent's 6.40. Anderson also held Toronto scoreless over five innings in his previous start, allowing two hits and three walks.

Kent is scheduled to make his eighth start since his promotion last month. He allowed three runs over five innings against Philadelphia last time out. His short major league track record limits how much weight to put on that ERA gap when pricing Detroit's chances.

Field Level Media reports that Kevin McGonigle is expected back atop Detroit's lineup after resting in the opener. His .274 average, 17 home runs and 94 walks would strengthen the Tigers' batting order, though his return isn't confirmed.

Betting verdict

At -157, Detroit needs to win about 61.1% of the time to break even. The pitching matchup makes the Tigers the pick to win, but it doesn't establish that probability without a fuller view of bullpen availability and the starting lineups. Washington's +130 price alone doesn't make the Nationals a worthwhile alternative. Pass.