Tampa Bay
Rays
Moneyline
+108
MLB Predictions
Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Predictions
Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 7:05pm EST
@
New York
Yankees
Moneyline
-130
23%
77%
Spread
Tampa Bay Rays +1.5
New York Yankees -1.5
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays +108
New York Yankees -130
Total
Over 6 (-104)
Under 6 (-116)
Professional Picks
5 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Tom Strickland
Total pick
Rich Roth
Total pick
Wes Salvato
Money pick
Garrett Perry
Money pick
Simon Says
Total pick
Rays at Yankees prediction: New York favored, but the price is not cheap
Analysis updated September 22, 2026 at 6:00 AM CDT
New York is the more likely winner at home, but the market is asking bettors to pay for it. With a 6.5 total, a tight game is the most natural script, which makes -132 feel less attractive than it looks.
What the market says
SportsPicksForum lists the Yankees at -132 on the moneyline and the Rays at +109. The run line shows New York -1.5 at plus money and Tampa Bay +1.5 as the cheaper side, with the total set at 6.5.
That price makes the Yankees the correct favorite, but not a strong one. A total this low leaves little room for separation, so the underdog can hang around with one timely hit or a clean bullpen inning.
Game context
MLB lists this as the 7:05 PM ET game at Yankee Stadium, with Drew Rasmussen for Tampa Bay and Max Fried for New York. MLB’s starting lineups page still had both clubs marked TBD at crawl time.
That combination keeps the read fairly simple: two well-known starters, no confirmed lineups yet, and a market that has already priced in the basic edge for the home team. There is not much here that would justify paying more for New York unless the price drops.
Betting read
The Yankees are the likelier winner, but -132 is not cheap in a game lined at 6.5. In a low-scoring setup, the favorite has less margin for error, and the Rays’ plus-money price is enough to make the dog side live even if it is not the preferred pick.
The better wager is a pass. New York has the cleaner side lean, but the current number asks too much for a game that projects to stay tight.
Pick
New York Yankees
Projected score
Yankees 4, Rays 3
Confidence
medium
Betting lean
Pass