Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Auburn Tigers Predictions
Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 7:45pm EST
Tigers
Professional Picks On This Game
Southern Miss at Auburn Prediction: What Does the Run Game Say About +33.5?
Analysis updated September 12, 2026 at 6:37 AM CDT
Southern Miss showed it could run against Alcorn State. Whether that production carries over against Auburn is the key question for a 33.5-point underdog.
Southern Miss brings a productive rushing opener
Southern Miss rushed for 317 yards in its 49-3 win over Alcorn State, according to sports publication Athlon Sports. Sustaining drives on the ground could help the Golden Eagles stay within SPF's +33.5 spread at Auburn, but that opener doesn't establish how they'll run against the Tigers.
Steven Robinson supplied 123 rushing yards and three touchdowns, while Jamarice Wilder added 90 yards and two scores. Those contributions give Southern Miss two runners to build around; neither performance answers the question of how Auburn will defend them.
Betting verdict
Athlon Sports reports that Auburn opened with a 17-16 win over Baylor. That scoring output alone can't tell us whether the Tigers can win this matchup by the 34 points needed to cover. The spread is a pass.
Auburn is the likely winner, consistent with SPF's -9000 moneyline, but that price requires risking $90 to win $1. The available matchup evidence doesn't justify that risk, and Southern Miss at +2500 isn't a supported upset bet.
SPF lists the total at 56.5, with over -112 and under -108. Without enough information about either defense or the expected pace, there's no supported total wager. Pass.