NCAAF Predictions

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Auburn Tigers Predictions

Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 7:45pm EST

Southern Miss

Golden Eagles

1-0
Spread +33.5
@
Auburn

Tigers

Spread -33.5
50% 50%
Spread Southern Miss Golden Eagles +33.5 Auburn Tigers -33.5
Moneyline Southern Miss Golden Eagles +2500 Auburn Tigers -9000
Total Over 56.5 (-112) Under 56.5 (-108)
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Southern Miss at Auburn Prediction: What Does the Run Game Say About +33.5?

Analysis updated September 12, 2026 at 6:37 AM CDT

Southern Miss showed it could run against Alcorn State. Whether that production carries over against Auburn is the key question for a 33.5-point underdog.

Southern Miss brings a productive rushing opener

Southern Miss rushed for 317 yards in its 49-3 win over Alcorn State, according to sports publication Athlon Sports. Sustaining drives on the ground could help the Golden Eagles stay within SPF's +33.5 spread at Auburn, but that opener doesn't establish how they'll run against the Tigers.

Steven Robinson supplied 123 rushing yards and three touchdowns, while Jamarice Wilder added 90 yards and two scores. Those contributions give Southern Miss two runners to build around; neither performance answers the question of how Auburn will defend them.

Betting verdict

Athlon Sports reports that Auburn opened with a 17-16 win over Baylor. That scoring output alone can't tell us whether the Tigers can win this matchup by the 34 points needed to cover. The spread is a pass.

Auburn is the likely winner, consistent with SPF's -9000 moneyline, but that price requires risking $90 to win $1. The available matchup evidence doesn't justify that risk, and Southern Miss at +2500 isn't a supported upset bet.

SPF lists the total at 56.5, with over -112 and under -108. Without enough information about either defense or the expected pace, there's no supported total wager. Pass.

Pick Auburn Tigers
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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